Are we as hobbyist UAS users in the clear for now? can we jump for joy? or to soon?
#526
Our battles are not over!
Amazon is still pursuing drone delivery and has plans to start in the UK.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36887325 Follow the link to read more about it.
[h=1]New trials for delivering goods by drones[/h] By Richard Westcott Transport correspondent, BBC News
The government's getting together with the retail giant Amazon to start testing flying drones that can deliver parcels to your door.
Amazon's paying for the programme, which will look at the best way to allow hundreds of robotic aircraft to buzz around Britain's skies safely.
The company claims it'll eventually mean small parcels will arrive at your house within 30 minutes of ordering them online.
Ministers say they want to pave the way for all businesses to start using the technology in future, but they will still have to convince the public that having automated drones flying around is both safe and won't invade people's privacy.
[h=2]Three big problems[/h]The trials will look at cracking three big problems:
Amazon is still pursuing drone delivery and has plans to start in the UK.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36887325 Follow the link to read more about it.
[h=1]New trials for delivering goods by drones[/h] By Richard Westcott Transport correspondent, BBC News
The government's getting together with the retail giant Amazon to start testing flying drones that can deliver parcels to your door.
Amazon's paying for the programme, which will look at the best way to allow hundreds of robotic aircraft to buzz around Britain's skies safely.
The company claims it'll eventually mean small parcels will arrive at your house within 30 minutes of ordering them online.
Ministers say they want to pave the way for all businesses to start using the technology in future, but they will still have to convince the public that having automated drones flying around is both safe and won't invade people's privacy.
[h=2]Three big problems[/h]The trials will look at cracking three big problems:
- How can you operate drones safely beyond "line of sight"? The current rules say a pilot has to be able to see the aircraft at all times
- How can you build a drone that won't bump into things? Much like autonomous cars it would need sensors to help it avoid objects
- How can you build a system where one pilot is responsible for many drones?
#527
Ford had it right. Quality is Job 1. However quality includes safety as it is not a quality product if not safe. Quality in other areas would in fact improve safety, so they work hand in hand.
#528
Our battles are not over!
Amazon is still pursuing drone delivery and has plans to start in the UK.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36887325 Follow the link to read more about it.
New trials for delivering goods by drones
By Richard Westcott Transport correspondent, BBC News
The government's getting together with the retail giant Amazon to start testing flying drones that can deliver parcels to your door.
Amazon's paying for the programme, which will look at the best way to allow hundreds of robotic aircraft to buzz around Britain's skies safely.
The company claims it'll eventually mean small parcels will arrive at your house within 30 minutes of ordering them online.
Ministers say they want to pave the way for all businesses to start using the technology in future, but they will still have to convince the public that having automated drones flying around is both safe and won't invade people's privacy.
Three big problems
The trials will look at cracking three big problems:
Amazon is still pursuing drone delivery and has plans to start in the UK.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36887325 Follow the link to read more about it.
New trials for delivering goods by drones
By Richard Westcott Transport correspondent, BBC News
The government's getting together with the retail giant Amazon to start testing flying drones that can deliver parcels to your door.
Amazon's paying for the programme, which will look at the best way to allow hundreds of robotic aircraft to buzz around Britain's skies safely.
The company claims it'll eventually mean small parcels will arrive at your house within 30 minutes of ordering them online.
Ministers say they want to pave the way for all businesses to start using the technology in future, but they will still have to convince the public that having automated drones flying around is both safe and won't invade people's privacy.
Three big problems
The trials will look at cracking three big problems:
- How can you operate drones safely beyond "line of sight"? The current rules say a pilot has to be able to see the aircraft at all times
- How can you build a drone that won't bump into things? Much like autonomous cars it would need sensors to help it avoid objects
- How can you build a system where one pilot is responsible for many drones?
Not sure about the UK but the biggest problem in the US will probably be birdshot.
#529
I see Amazon's quest as being more gimmicky than feasible; at least with today's technology and that in the foreseeable future. How can you send 300 parcels that vary between 1oz and 70lbs to 300 customers more cheaply than one brown truck and a driver?
Harvey
Harvey
#530
Intel invested 60 million in Yuneec, a full size electric aircraft manufacture and Drone manufacture. With that investment money Yuneec have developed collision avoidance technology. Who know what else Yuneec has up their developers sleeves for the coming years.
I wouldn't discredit the amazon deal just yet. They are investing time and money into the effort. It's no longer a marketing scheme.
#531
People think that battery power is free or at least cheap. Not free and not as cheap as you may think. Especially when it is time to replace the batteries.
#533
Hydro,
I don't remember anyone saying that if we can't reach 100% safety, we shouldn't try at all. (Or at least I think that's what you're saying.) At the risk of misunderstanding the gist of this conversation, I believe the two sides are saying:
Franklin: Anything less than 100% is unacceptable and we can't rest until we achieve it.
Not true, he's saying 100% isn't acceptable but any gain toward it is better than not trying
Porcia: 100% is not realistically attainable so let's be satisfied to get as close as we can.
Agreed, to a point. I read his comments as "If we can't get 100%, why bother doing anything"
Interestingly, BOTH sides are correct. Franklin is driven to make safety Job 1. On the other hand, Porcia recognizes that no matter how much money and manpower is devoted to totally fixing a problem, 99% may be the realistic maximum attainable. As an example, an automobile that is constructed of 20ft thick rubberfoam all of the way around may be 99.999% safe; however, it's not really feasible.
If I had cancer, I would want my surgeon to have Franklin's attitude. However, if I didn't have unlimited medical insurance, I would accept Porcia's. (This isn't intended as an insult, Porcia. I just wouldn't want to deplete my family's savings in order to pursue immortality.)
So, who's wrong? NEITHER!!!
Hydro, I'm so very sorry about your loss. Please take comfort in that those horrific accidents so many years ago have contributed in making automobiles much safer today. Driving still isn't 100% safe but it's getting closer! My comments about the crash were included to show why I consider the 100% or nothing I was reading in Porcia's posts to be shortsighted and unrealistic I see safety, whether in transportation of people or goods or hobby, be it aircraft, cars, boats or quads, needs to be a number one priority. Franklin's comments about safety testing are spot on, based on the videos of the two Superfortress crashes. IN FACT, the one that went over the flight line should never have gotten as far as it did due to the fact that you can hear in the video one engine wasn't running properly when the pilot started his take off roll.
Harvey
I don't remember anyone saying that if we can't reach 100% safety, we shouldn't try at all. (Or at least I think that's what you're saying.) At the risk of misunderstanding the gist of this conversation, I believe the two sides are saying:
Franklin: Anything less than 100% is unacceptable and we can't rest until we achieve it.
Not true, he's saying 100% isn't acceptable but any gain toward it is better than not trying
Porcia: 100% is not realistically attainable so let's be satisfied to get as close as we can.
Agreed, to a point. I read his comments as "If we can't get 100%, why bother doing anything"
Interestingly, BOTH sides are correct. Franklin is driven to make safety Job 1. On the other hand, Porcia recognizes that no matter how much money and manpower is devoted to totally fixing a problem, 99% may be the realistic maximum attainable. As an example, an automobile that is constructed of 20ft thick rubberfoam all of the way around may be 99.999% safe; however, it's not really feasible.
If I had cancer, I would want my surgeon to have Franklin's attitude. However, if I didn't have unlimited medical insurance, I would accept Porcia's. (This isn't intended as an insult, Porcia. I just wouldn't want to deplete my family's savings in order to pursue immortality.)
So, who's wrong? NEITHER!!!
Hydro, I'm so very sorry about your loss. Please take comfort in that those horrific accidents so many years ago have contributed in making automobiles much safer today. Driving still isn't 100% safe but it's getting closer! My comments about the crash were included to show why I consider the 100% or nothing I was reading in Porcia's posts to be shortsighted and unrealistic I see safety, whether in transportation of people or goods or hobby, be it aircraft, cars, boats or quads, needs to be a number one priority. Franklin's comments about safety testing are spot on, based on the videos of the two Superfortress crashes. IN FACT, the one that went over the flight line should never have gotten as far as it did due to the fact that you can hear in the video one engine wasn't running properly when the pilot started his take off roll.
Harvey
#534
#535
TimJ, with all due respect, it's a marketing gimmick, regardless of the amount of time and money that Amazon is investing. The proof is that (1) it's something new and exciting, (2) it was announced in a news release that was aimed to excite existing customers and attract new ones, (3) Amazon is hoping to get a jump on its competitors, and (4) it was announced LONG before any of the legal and practical barriers have been solved.
Harvey
Last edited by H5487; 07-27-2016 at 08:57 AM.
#536
Come to think it will be a marketing tool even after it is implemented. Just as the brown vans are marketing tools for UPS as well as practical delivery vehicles. But that won't make drones a reliable deliver system. Just too many shotguns out there.
#537
I think solving the legal hoops will be the easy part. The practical barriers will be another matter. Things like avoiding other air traffic (both big and small), avoiding powerlines, avoiding sensitive areas, not hitting anybody, maneuvering close to the ground to deliver a parcel to a recipient's point of delivery (which may be anything from the front door of a house to inside the lobby of a high rise).
TimJ, with all due respect, it's a marketing gimmick, regardless of the amount of time and money that Amazon is investing. The proof is that (1) it's something new and exciting, (2) it was announced in a news release that was aimed to excite existing customers and attract new ones, (3) Amazon is hoping to get a jump on its competitors, and (4) it was announced LONG before any of the legal and practical barriers have been solved.
Harvey
TimJ, with all due respect, it's a marketing gimmick, regardless of the amount of time and money that Amazon is investing. The proof is that (1) it's something new and exciting, (2) it was announced in a news release that was aimed to excite existing customers and attract new ones, (3) Amazon is hoping to get a jump on its competitors, and (4) it was announced LONG before any of the legal and practical barriers have been solved.
Harvey
Actually unless Amazon is bribing officials the legal part is the hard part. Not likely to bribe all of the FEDS, and State, and local officials. Too many people will be complaining about these large low flying vehicles. Feds presently are fighting Amazon over their 200 foot rule. I doubt they will make them quite enough to satisfy many people. A 1/4 ton drone will make too much noise for many.
#539
Banned
My Feedback: (8)
I think solving the legal hoops will be the easy part. The practical barriers will be another matter. Things like avoiding other air traffic (both big and small), avoiding powerlines, avoiding sensitive areas, not hitting anybody, maneuvering close to the ground to deliver a parcel to a recipient's point of delivery (which may be anything from the front door of a house to inside the lobby of a high rise).
TimJ, with all due respect, it's a marketing gimmick, regardless of the amount of time and money that Amazon is investing. The proof is that (1) it's something new and exciting, (2) it was announced in a news release that was aimed to excite existing customers and attract new ones, (3) Amazon is hoping to get a jump on its competitors, and (4) it was announced LONG before any of the legal and practical barriers have been solved.
Harvey
TimJ, with all due respect, it's a marketing gimmick, regardless of the amount of time and money that Amazon is investing. The proof is that (1) it's something new and exciting, (2) it was announced in a news release that was aimed to excite existing customers and attract new ones, (3) Amazon is hoping to get a jump on its competitors, and (4) it was announced LONG before any of the legal and practical barriers have been solved.
Harvey
#540
It's marketing now, but I have no doubt they will try to implement something along these lines. They are looking to satisfy our need for instant gratification and shrinking delivery times from days to a day...and in some instances hours. they are partnering with Uber/Lyft to get that ball rolling. I doubt they will be able to saturate the market with drone deliveries as they are presenting, but i have no doubt they will move forward it. They just built a second HUGE warehouse in CT (not a big state) and my understanding is two more are coming as well. Just so we can get our books and toilet paper sooner!
Change:
They are looking to satisfy our need for instant gratification...
To:
They are looking to cash in on our inability to wait for something...
Harvey
PS... Please don't mention to Franklin that I agreed with you on something. He out-ranks me!
#541
Banned
My Feedback: (8)
Hydro,
I don't remember anyone saying that if we can't reach 100% safety, we shouldn't try at all. (Or at least I think that's what you're saying.) At the risk of misunderstanding the gist of this conversation, I believe the two sides are saying:
Franklin: Anything less than 100% is unacceptable and we can't rest until we achieve it.
Porcia: 100% is not realistically attainable so let's be satisfied to get as close as we can.
Interestingly, BOTH sides are correct. Franklin is driven to make safety Job 1. On the other hand, Porcia recognizes that no matter how much money and manpower is devoted to totally fixing a problem, 99% may be the realistic maximum attainable. As an example, an automobile that is constructed of 20ft thick rubberfoam all of the way around may be 99.999% safe; however, it's not really feasible.
If I had cancer, I would want my surgeon to have Franklin's attitude. However, if I didn't have unlimited medical insurance, I would accept Porcia's. (This isn't intended as an insult, Porcia. I just wouldn't want to deplete my family's savings in order to pursue immortality.)
So, who's wrong? NEITHER!!!
Hydro, I'm so very sorry about your loss. Please take comfort in that those horrific accidents so many years ago have contributed in making automobiles much safer today. Driving still isn't 100% safe but it's getting closer!
Harvey
I don't remember anyone saying that if we can't reach 100% safety, we shouldn't try at all. (Or at least I think that's what you're saying.) At the risk of misunderstanding the gist of this conversation, I believe the two sides are saying:
Franklin: Anything less than 100% is unacceptable and we can't rest until we achieve it.
Porcia: 100% is not realistically attainable so let's be satisfied to get as close as we can.
Interestingly, BOTH sides are correct. Franklin is driven to make safety Job 1. On the other hand, Porcia recognizes that no matter how much money and manpower is devoted to totally fixing a problem, 99% may be the realistic maximum attainable. As an example, an automobile that is constructed of 20ft thick rubberfoam all of the way around may be 99.999% safe; however, it's not really feasible.
If I had cancer, I would want my surgeon to have Franklin's attitude. However, if I didn't have unlimited medical insurance, I would accept Porcia's. (This isn't intended as an insult, Porcia. I just wouldn't want to deplete my family's savings in order to pursue immortality.)
So, who's wrong? NEITHER!!!
Hydro, I'm so very sorry about your loss. Please take comfort in that those horrific accidents so many years ago have contributed in making automobiles much safer today. Driving still isn't 100% safe but it's getting closer!
Harvey
No insult taken, I actually appre
#542
Banned
My Feedback: (8)
I agree but with the following clarification...
Change:
They are looking to satisfy our need for instant gratification...
To:
They are looking to cash in on our inability to wait for something...
Harvey
PS... Please don't mention to Franklin that I agreed with you on something. He out-ranks me!
Change:
They are looking to satisfy our need for instant gratification...
To:
They are looking to cash in on our inability to wait for something...
Harvey
PS... Please don't mention to Franklin that I agreed with you on something. He out-ranks me!
( and yes, I plead guilty to being impatient as well. I ordered two new 6 cells packs for one of my planes yesterday and I've already checked tracking twice).
#543
#544
#545
Banned
My Feedback: (8)
Sounds to me like you're trying to cover the fact that Franklin just took your point and shoved it back in your face. His reasoning is so sound that you can't refute it so you're going back to the tried and utterly weak "There is only so much that can be done" line. I'm going to take this one step further. I lost several family members in a head on crash back in 1972. They were in a full sized 70 Mercury, state of the art for the day in safety. The front of the car was so smashed due to the impact, caused by a drunk driver in the other vehicle, that the front tires were pushed back to along side the front doors, still attached to the front axle. Had they been in a 77 or later with the redesigned energy absorbing structure, the front of the car would have absorbed the impact by crushing, possibly saving some of the occupants. By the reasoning you use and the one Franklin so easily found fault in, the automotive design change might not have saved everyone so it shouldn't have been done at all and we should all be driving cars that aren't designed to protect the passengers but, rather, survive a crash with as little damage as possible as was the case back in the early 70s.
You can get emotional and call my statement tired and utterly utterly weak, yet you fail to show a perfect solution to the problem, just as Franklin has. Other than not flying, there is no solution. There is only so much that can be done. Your story about lost family members is a touching one, and obviously things have changed safety wise since the 70's. Airbags, crumple zones, lighter and stronger components etc. We have learned form past mistakes and/or design deficiencies.
By your own logic I guess we've solved the problems with auto collisions and fatalities? I think the families of the million plus people who die in car accidents each year (about 3200 per day) would disagree. I won't call your logic tired or utterly weak, I'll just say it appears to be faulty.
It looks like there's only so much the auto industry can do to prevent fatal and injury sustaining accidents. Short of not driving, there is no perfect solution.
When you or Franklin provide a 100% foolproof plan to ensure a 100% safety record, post it here or sent it to the AMA.
Last edited by porcia83; 07-28-2016 at 05:18 AM.
#546
Banned
My Feedback: (8)
Hate to be cynical, but the public is going to be absolutely a o/k with drone delivery if they get their stuff cheaper, and faster! In fact, Amazon has already done the hard work. No, not lobbying and building infrastructure and paying for the drones. No, they have already done massive amount of intelligence gathering via their customers. They've become the worlds best at predictive modeling for consumers wants, needs, and buying practices. There is nobody even close to them (Walmart is second best, but can't peel the onion back as far as Amazon can).
They aren't going into this on a lark, or just for marketing PR to say oh look at us and how innovative we are. They are doing it because their customers are asking for it.
#547
I will admit that drone delivery may eventually become a reality but will it be easier and cheaper than a big brown truck and driver? Probably not for many years. In the meantime, Amazon has excited the masses with its proposal and that has brought positive attention to the company. I think THAT may be more to Amazon's stockholders benefit than actually putting drones in the air. At least for right now.
The unfortunate reality of implementing a new idea is that closing your eyes and dreaming it up was the easy part.
Harvey
Last edited by H5487; 07-28-2016 at 06:11 AM.
#548
They are doing it because their customers are asking for it.
#549
Adding a third (altitude) and the complication factor is increased by a whole lot more than just 50%.