I have found that our local Post is pretty accurate as is German Post. I had no idea that Moskau and Berlin have a Post agreement to the point that the parcel went from Moskau to Germany and was taken by DHL from there to NYC. Doubly odd in that there was no extra charge to me. The big delay was after the parcel hit the facility in NJ, that's where it stayed for quite some days. Was it there all that time? I don't know. On the other hand, even our local Post can screw up, for instance I have a herd of bearings in transit, delivery scheduled for 25 April. Hmmm. Sunday delivery? Not in this village, they roll up the sidewalks at 20:00 Saturday and roll 'em back out 07:30 Monday..