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Old 05-16-2006 | 11:19 AM
  #112  
EddieWeeks
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Joined: Dec 2001
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From: Baton Rouge, LA
Default RE: 2 death 4 wounded in model airplane crash

Attached are two graphs of the Probability of getting hit with an airplane.

There are a few assumptions but all are reasonable.

1) Every flight crashes
2) Each Person is 5 ft^2 and the plane does not have area

More info at
http://www.corpcomp.com/weeks1/Prob/...iles/frame.htm
Power Point
http://www.corpcomp.com/weeks1/Prob/Prob.ppt


In the first graph, This is real data collect from a Turbine plane.
The second graph is the same data divided by two. Not a prop plane
(I assumed a prop plane Goes 1/2 as fast and 1/2 as far)

Also in the second graph I calculated the odds with 1681 people standing 30 feet
Behind the pilot. Then I calculated the odds of any one of these people getting
Hit with an out of control plane..


Graph 1:
One Pilot flying a turbine, Odds of getting hit are ~1,000,000 to 1

Graph 2:
1681 people 30 feet from pilot Odds of getting hit are 213 to 1

This Probability calculation may or may not be accurate but its very good at
showing us what is important.

Eddie Weeks
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